Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Hello Anthropocene, Goodbye Holocene - A Commentary

The debate about the Anthropocene and the geologic boundary that, if approved, would mark its start is lively and extensive, and contentious.  In a simple Google search, three quarter million hits and many hundreds of academic papers are returned, including perspectives in this journal, Earth’s Future (e.g., Ellis and Trachtenberg, 2014).  Since its informal introduction about 15 years ago (Crutzen and Stoermer, 2000), some reject a new epoch entirely, while others debate the position of its boundary in the geologic timescale.  The thrust of this commentary is a correction to the recent geologic timescale, advancing the thesis that epoch status for the Holocene is unjustified and that, instead, we should define a Pleistocene-Anthropocene epoch boundary.

The Holocene is the youngest geologic epoch of the Quaternary.  The official geologic timescale, managed by the International Commission on Stratigraphy (http://goo.gl/GFdeit ), is based on identifiable markers, or “golden spikes”, which, for the Holocene, is defined as:
“The base of the Holocene Series/Epoch is defined in the NGRIP ice-core record at a depth of 1492.45m at the horizon which shows the clearest signal of climatic warming, an event that marks the end of the last cold episode (Younger Dryas Stadial/Greenland Stadial 1) of the Pleistocene.” (http://goo.gl/VYtCRT; Walker et al., 2009).
Thus, a moderate atmospheric signal characterizes the Pleistocene-Holocene boundary as currently defined, with the end of the latest (last?) glacial as its primary geologic signature (yet, the process of receding ice is similar among all Quaternary interglacials).  The atmospheric/climatic trend of an interglacial that heralded the Holocene is continuing today, but the recent era of human influence on its environment, marking the Anthropocene, reflects a geologic change of greater, global proportions.
A particularly compelling perspective on the Anthropocene was produced by Will Steffen and others, sometimes referred to as “The Great Acceleration” (e.g., Steffen et al., 2004; http://goo.gl/W7akNv ).  By tabulating dozens of change indicators over the past couple of decades and centuries, a picture emerges of rapid change in recent times.  Some of these changes are social constructs (such as, McDonalds restaurants), but others represent lasting geologic signatures that are global in scope.  Notably, our demands for resources and nourishment, which necessitate invasive mining and agricultural practices, have changed the surface of today’s planet almost everywhere.  These demands and associated waste products create a boundary that is readily recognizable in surface geology (e.g., Wilkinson, 2005) and by concentrations of chemical compounds (e.g., Rockström et al., 2009).  A recent class project at the University of Michigan revisited and updated the Steffen analysis, confirming and extending the key patterns established earlier.  For example, Figure 1 shows data from Law Dome ice core in Antarctica (see supplementary data), which record rapid changes in chemical compounds that reflect modern agricultural and industrial practices.  Selecting a boundary from these data would place the beginning of (accelerated) change in the window 1850-1950, which coincides with the onset of the mid-19th Century “Industrial Revolution” and early 20th Century “Transportation Revolution”.

Figure 1.  Atmospheric concentration of CH4, CO2 and N2O from Law Dome ice core (Antarctica) since 0 CE; inset shows data after 1700 CE.  After MacFarling Meure et al. (2006) and supplementary data.
The human influence has led others to define the Anthropocene boundary elsewhere.  Agricultural practices underlie Bill Ruddiman’s proposal for a boundary as long as 7,000 year ago (Ruddiman, 2003).  Others, including the original advocate for the Anthropocene, Paul Crutzen, favor the chemical anomaly from atomic explosions since 1945 CE, although related isotopic tracers have a limited lifetime.  Neither, however, reflect geologic change to the same degree since the Industrial Revolution in the 19th Century .  Finally, there is growing evidence for a modern species extinction episode (e.g., Elizabeth Kolbert’s, The Sixth Extinction).  Species extinctions have traditionally defined the boundaries between geologic eras that contain complex life, i.e. the Paleozoic-Mesozoic and the Mesozoic-Cenozoic boundaries, as well as lower-level timescale boundaries.  The nature of today’s species extinction, however, does not allow one to draw a decadal scale boundary.

As the official timescale keepers deliberate the introduction of the Anthropocene and a Holocene-Anthropocene boundary (Anthropocene Working Group of the Subcommission on Quaternary Stratigraphy; Zalasiewicz, J., M. et al., 2010; http://goo.gl/wIm6X0 ), they should consider the alternative: Remove the Holocene Epoch from the geologic timescale.  Whereas any timescale change is a contentious issue, let alone changes to an existing epoch, modern human society’s interactions with its planet and ecosystems, embodied by the Anthropocene, are sufficiently large to produce a lasting geologic marker that supports such modification.  This new boundary would remain visible in the geologic record of oceans and continents (see also Corcoran et al., 2014 on plastics), meeting the stratigraphic requirements that ultimately underlie the timescale and marking a shift from the Pleistocene’s Milankovitch forcing to the Anthropocene’s human forcing.

The Holocene is a climate-centric placeholder for change after the latest Quaternary glaciation, but does not, as defined, match the accelerated changes in land, ocean and atmosphere that mark modern times.  So, I suggest that (a) we remove the Holocene altogether in favor of a (young) Anthropocene Epoch that reflects planet-wide geologic changes since c. 1900 CE, or (b) we demote the Holocene to Stage/Age status, marking the end of the Pleistocene Epoch.  The latter, perhaps more palatable compromise, would recognize historical precedent and allow continued use of Holocene in the literature as a temporal (“Age”) marker.  Regardless, slicing the Quaternary Period in ever thinner epochs has no geologic merit.  Given the degree and impact of modern, human-induced changes on our planet, a young Pleistocene-Anthropocene boundary seems justified.

Acknowledgments
I thank Scott Miller, Will Steffen and editor Guy Brassseur for comments and thoughtful discussion, but I remain solely responsible for the contents of this commentary.

References
Corcoran, P.L., Moore, C.J., and Jazvac, K. (2014).  An anthropogenic marker horizon in the future rock record.  GSA Today, 24, 4-8, doi: 10.1130/GSAT-G198A.1.
Crutzen, P.J., and Stoermer, E.F. (2000).  The “Anthropocene”, Global Change Newsl., 41, 17–18
Crutzen, P.J., and Steffen, W. (2003).  How Long Have We Been in the Anthropocene Era? Climatic Change, 61, 251-257.
Ellis, M.A. and Trachtenberg, Z. (2014). Which Anthropocene is it to be? Beyond geology to a moral and public discourse. Earth's Future, 2, 122–125.
Kolbert. E., (2014). The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History.  Henry Holt and Co., 336p.
MacFarling Meure, C., D. Etheridge, C. Trudinger, P. Steele, R. Langenfelds, T. van Ommen, A. Smith, and J. Elkins (2006). Law Dome CO2, CH4 and N2O ice core records extended to 2000 years BP. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L14810, doi:10.1029/2006GL026152.
Ruddiman, W.F. (2003).  The anthropogenic greenhouse era began thousands of years ago. Clim. Change, 61, 261–293.
Rockström, J., W. Steffen, K. Noone, Å. Persson, F. S. Chapin, III, E. Lambin, T. M. Lenton, M. Scheffer, C. Folke, H. Schellnhuber, B. Nykvist, C. A. De Wit, T. Hughes, S. van der Leeuw, H. Rodhe, S. Sörlin, P. K. Snyder, R. Costanza, U. Svedin, M. Falkenmark, L. Karlberg, R. W. Corell, V. J. Fabry, J. Hansen, B. Walker, D. Liverman, K. Richardson, P. Crutzen, and J. Foley (2009).  Planetary boundaries: Exploring the safe operating space for humanity. Ecology and Society, 14, 32.
Steffen, W., Sanderson, R.A., Tyson, P.D., Jäger, J., Matson, P.A., Moore III, B., Oldfield, F., Richardson, K., Schellnhuber, H.-J., Turner, B.L., and Wasson, R.J. (2004).  Global Change and the Earth System: A Planet under Pressure. Springer (Berlin, Germany), 336 p.
Walker, M., Johnsen, S., Rasmussen, S. O., Popp, T., Steffensen, J.-P., Gibbard, P., Hoek, W., Lowe, J., Andrews, J., Björck, S., Cwynar, L. C., Hughen, K., Kershaw, P., Kromer, B., Litt, T., Lowe, D. J., Nakagawa, T., Newnham, R. and Schwander, J. (2009). Formal definition and dating of the GSSP (Global Stratotype Section and Point) for the base of the Holocene using the Greenland NGRIP ice core, and selected auxiliary records. J. Quaternary Sci., 24, 3–17. doi: 10.1002/jqs.1227
Wilkinson, B.H. (2005).  Humans as geologic agents: A deep time perspective.  Geology, 33, 161–164.
Zalasiewicz, J., Williams, M., Steffen, W., and Crutzen, P. (2010). The new world of the Anthropocene. Environ. Sci. Technol., 44, 2228–2231.

From: Earth's Future, v.2, 2014.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/enhanced/doi/10.1002/2014EF000268/

Update (3/23/15):
A more detailed look at a Pleistocene-Anthropocene epoch boundary that likewise recognizes (and seems to favor) option 2, in a 2015 paper by Lewis and Maslin (Nature 519, 171-180).



Friday, August 15, 2014

vanderTrick: Annotating a PDF - Using print or post with multiple PPT slides per page.

I spend a lot of time finding a way to change the margins of a PDF file, so that there is more room for pen markup or online annotation on a handout or posted file, respectively.  In short, that functionality is not available in Acrobat Pro in any simple manner.  Only complicated, image-based work arounds or some coding demand.  But, I found another and very simple way to reach my goal of multiple slides per page that works around the default setting in PowerPoint of note lines for 3 slides/page or no vertical option for 4 slides/page.  The resolution of the slides remains good as well.

Export to PDF from PowerPoint using standard, 1 slide per page setting (using PDFmaker or included WORD converter).
Open newly created PDF in Arcrobat Pro and, using the print option window, select multiple pages.  For example, 1x4.  Then print to printer or to file, and the results is a clean looking PDF without the annoying note lines that is embedded in PowerPoint for handouts or other preset layouts.


A better solution yet is using print in the free FoxIt Reader, which allows the option to remove autocentering of the images and adds spacing to the slides.  This creates full lay-out control for annotation needs.


The result is shown below, offering lots of room for adding text and mark-ups using Acrobat Reader’s Comment Tool that is now included in the standard, free version, or for handwritten notes.  



Monday, August 11, 2014

Technology for Student Learning and Student Engagement

I have been involved in multiple educational activities at the University of Michigan, some more successful than others, but my favorites include applications of information and technologies in the student learning environment.  They also feed the gadget geek in me.  Being asked to provide a summary for an internal document, I wrote a brief narrative of several activities, which is structured around hotlinked reports by local writers. 

In the mid 1990’s, when websites were still relatively rare and webpage creation as part of course work was even less common, I offered a webbased project in one of my intro level classes, GS 265 "How to Build a Habitable Planet.  A 1996 write-up in the UM News describes the, then, novel use of the internet as a learning and student research tool.  Students said, "It was exciting to find out we would be incorporating the World Wide Web into our class. It was really beneficial because we learned how to use the Web to search for information while at the same time make our own home page." and, "It gave me a chance to learn more about the Internet, so I looked at the course with enthusiasm." (http://www.umich.edu/~gs265/265ITD.htm).  Encouraged by the responses, I continued development of web-based learning in the Global Change courses that annually involved 200+ students, which was highlighted in a 2000 UM News write-up titled “Global change sequence: ‘A different type of course” (http://ur.umich.edu/0001/Nov06_00/3.htm).  These activities and the design of the ‘front-loaded’ Global Change Minor (UM’s first minor, I recall) were funded by grants from the Hewlett Foundation and the U-M Provost office, supporting course development for faculty and TAs over a period of several years.  Meanwhile, I used my experiences with interdisciplinary education on the committee that designed a new major, the Program in the Environment (http://www.ur.umich.edu/0203/Sep30_02/global-change.html).


As the internet use quickly became more common, I started to explore the use of in-class activities to improve the large-classroom experience in collaboration with AOSS colleague Perry Samson.  Basic ‘clickers’ had just arrived on campus, but more sophisticated interactivity and image-based response systems that went beyond multiuple choice answers were nonexistent.  At the time we called our first effort “ImageQuiz”, which received funding from various university sources and major equipment gifts from Hewlett-Packard and Microsoft (hundreds of IPAQ handhelds and a couple of dozen windows-based TabletPCs, all then new form-factors that were later re-invented by Apple).  The University Record reported on our use of handhelds in 2005, as “GeoPocket: A classroom tool for the GameBoy generation” (http://www.ur.umich.edu/0506/Oct24_05/01.shtml).  The greater potential of laptops was recognized and we evolved our project into “LectureTools”, which capitalizes on the larger screen real estate and computing power of modern student laptops.  In order to deploy this approach, we build (the first?) wireless classroom system in the college of LSA, using off-the-shelf components from, then, Buy.com.  At the time, wireless was not generally available on our campus, and not at all to LSA undergraduate students, so this was also technologically interesting on a wire-based network.  This project received grant support from the National Science Foundation and extensive LSA-IT support, culminating in a redesign of the IT infrastructure of a new, wireless-enabled classroom that favored Wi-Fi over hardwire connections.  That effort was featured in 2007 Ann Arbor News; http://blog.mlive.com/annarbornews/2007/10/as_um_goes_wireless_results_ar.html).  LectureTools became more sophisticated by adding tools such as notetaking and other capabilities.  The main development moved off campus as LectureTools was licensed under a UM start-up agreement and in 2013 it was sold to Echo360 (URecord: http://www.ur.umich.edu/update/archives/121108/techtran).   I am still a user, but no longer involved in the development and design.
                                                                                                                                                                   
The potential of mobile computing to offer spatial information also motivated the application of “rugged” TabletPCs in support of geological fieldwork.  A grant from the National Science Foundation supported the acquisition of 20+ outdoor-ready, military grade Xplore units and peripherals (at a whopping cost of $3500+ each) and development support for a small team that included techie Peter Knoop and eduguy Eric Dey.  The units were used in UM’s field camp in Wyoming, where we added a wireless system to the mostly outdoor camp infrastructure and even experimented with a mobile, van-based wireless system.  The rise of today’s GPS-enabled tablets has replaced the need for expensive TabletPCs and we see field computing everywhere.  A 2003 article in the URecord offers an early description of the development and first application of the GeoPad project; http://www.ur.umich.edu/0304/Nov10_03/16.shtml.

With hardware fully matured, I am now (re)turning to software applications.  I introduced the use of Prezis as a more engaging research and presentation tool for undergraduate students.  This project received TA development support from LSA-IT, following my successful experiment in a first-year-seminar; see, 2012 URecord write up, provocatively titled, “Students go beyond platitudes to examine sustainability” (http://ur.umich.edu/1213/Dec10_12/4178-students-go-beyond).  Currently underway is a pre-class experience that asks students to answer a small set of relevant questions before each lecture block, so that they are perhaps more tuned to the upcoming material and so that the instructor gets a sense of base knowledge and interests.  The answers to these questions are available to the instructor and teaching assistants, but, given the added load for 100+ student classes, the approach would benefit students from feedback using word clouds and keyword tracking.  The key words search or are linked to relevant reading materials on the web (yes, including Wikipedia) or in electronic textbooks.  This has interest from several publishers and I’ll try an in-house experiment this coming winter.

Do the students learn more with these approaches?  Hard to measure quantitatively, but the feedback is always positive.  Nearly all students bring their laptops for notetaking and most participate in pre-class and in-class activities (not for points).  During lecture, they seem more engaged and connected with the material, which addresses some of the greatest criticisms of the “sage-on-stage” lecture model.  The instances where metrics were applied (e.g., http://goo.gl/ieXgML ), the students did as well and often better with the material, which provides added motivation to continue the quest.  Wearables anyone ?



Monday, July 14, 2014

On Clays and Fault Creep (video clip)

Having posted a recent version of my Anthropocene talk (at AGU), I might as well share my Spring 2014 Earthscope Speaker Series "Smart Clays" lecture clip on the San Andreas Fault (this one at UALR), which highlights my geology research on the role of clays in promoting fault creep (or aseismic slip).  Colloquially, I sometimes call this my "Kaopectate for an upset Earth" talk.
The 1:30 clip is a little snappier than the full 40+ minutes version.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlBt8DiMAAg

Reference:
van der Pluijm, B., 2011. Natural fault lubricants. Nature Geoscience, 4, 217-218.